QUESTION: Marty, Socrates has forecast a world recession into 2028. Unemployment stays low, but layoffs proceed to make headlines. Inflation has slowed, however grocery costs maintain rising. Company earnings have climbed, however small companies are struggling. Europe is imploding as you warned they might face a despair, whereas we’ve got stagflation. We’re additionally coming into a interval of elevated earthquakes and volcanic exercise, as you forecast. You additionally forecast that we are going to be coming into a interval of dramatic inhabitants decline going into 2040. On the 2024 WEC, you mentioned the Democratic Occasion was transferring towards a cut up. All of this can be a backdrop to your struggle forecasts. You additionally forecast that China would surpass the US a decade in the past. You mentioned that AI is just like the Web, which additionally displaced jobs. Is all of this a part of the reorganizing of the world post-2032?
Ken
ANSWER: Sure. I’ve defined earlier than, the beginning fee declines the richer a rustic turns into. The Roman Emperor Augustis (27BC-13ADF) handed Family Laws for this very purpose. The common age for a woman to have her first youngster in 1933 was 23 years previous. That’s now reaching 30 years previous and the beginning fee is collapsing. That is a part of the rationale why they’ve let within the migrants. By 2030. the beginning fee within the UK might be brief 1 million infants whereas there might be 1 million extra pensioners. The pension system are ponzi schemes that have been primarily based on the presumption that the inhabitants was all the time rising. Your complete monetary system is in disaster.
The US, Japan, Europe, and even Singapore are going through inhabitants collapse by 2032. France reported the bottom birthrate since 1919. The everyday excuse is that having youngsters is a burden. It’s too pricey and the longer term is simply too unsure. When my dad and mom have been residing, one wage supported the household. At this time, due to extreme taxation, it takes two salaries and individuals are not confortable with that.
We’re additionally in a transition interval. Our most vital danger is just like the Nineteenth-century transition to the Industrial Revolution. Marx and others didn’t perceive the transition course of. They noticed a farmer now as a manufacturing facility employee and the capitalist made cash from his labor, whereas ignoring the creation of jobs.
It’s a Schumpeter model of inventive destruction. The previous institution collapses, changed by the brand new financial pattern. Marx was influenced by Aristotle, who additionally didn’t perceive the transition as Athens grew to become the world’s new monetary capital. Brokers have been encouraging farmers to provide extra as a result of they might promote grain to different city-states. Aristotle referred to as the lads who made cash from cash. Aristotle noticed that this was altering the Villa Economic system, the place individuals have been self-sufficient and have been being remodeled right into a market economic system.
The transition to the Industrial Revolution ignited socialism/communism. These radical concepts of financial equality reasonably than civil proper equality led to class warfare. By 1912, Teddy Roosevelt launched the failed Progressive Occasion. However by 1913, their hatred and sophistication warfare gave us the revenue tax to punish the rich and this degree of financial resentment led to 2 world wars. All of this can be a pattern that sadly results in struggle as the ultimate fruits of sophistication warfare and hatred.
Communism collapsed 72 years after the upheaval of 1917. The Treaty of Rome was signed in 1957. The 72-year Revolution Cycle brings us once more to 2029. Socialism is collapsing the identical as communism in Russia and China. The novel concept of the Nineteenth century which have killed tons of of tens of millions within the identify of equality, are coming to their similar inefficient realization. Because of this you see Europe determined attacking free speech and so on.
There are occasions when earthquakes and volcanoes cluster collectively. That came about through the Nineteenth century. That led to the yr with out a summer time in 1816 and Napoleon was defeated by two volcanoes. The yr 2025 ought to have produced extra volcanoes and earthquakes. We simply had a double earthquake one in Japan after which in Alaska.
Japan sits on the western fringe of the Pacific Plate, the place the Pacific Plate subducts beneath. Alaska sits on the northern–japanese fringe of the Pacific Plate, the place the Pacific Plate subducts beneath. Japan and Alaska are on reverse sides of the Pacific Plate and each are a part of the Pacific Ring of Hearth as each expertise megathrust subduction earthquakes. The pc merely seems to be on the knowledge and calculated the cycles. This doesn’t seem like it would settle down earlier than 2032.
