QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you had forecast that Brazil would go into one other revolutionary section in 2026. Given the latest occasions right here in Brazil, I believe that forecast you made three years in the past is instantly trying extra believable. Would you present an replace on Brazil?
Thanks
Miguel
ANSWER: Brazil’s historical past is notably totally different from many Latin American neighbors; it didn’t have a bloody, continent-wide warfare for independence from Portugal (1822), and it has not had a basic, profitable standard revolution that fully overthrew the state in a single occasion (just like the French or Russian Revolutions).
Nevertheless, Brazil has skilled a number of main occasions which are formally referred to as “revolutions” and different profound transformations that may very well be thought-about revolutionary in affect. The final was a army coup that overthrew President João Goulart in 1964, which was formally referred to as the “Redemptive Revolution” by the generals who led it. They framed it as a essential motion to avoid wasting the nation from communism and chaos. Nevertheless, historians in the present day universally classify it as a coup d’état that initiated a 21-year-long army dictatorship, not a revolution within the basic sense.
The election of Lula da Silva was an act of financial suicide for Brazil. Silva was elected in 2022 to be the president of Brazil. That was a shocking comeback following a really tight run-off race that was not with out controversy. His victory heralded a political about-face for Latin America’s largest nation. You’ll be able to see the financial penalties because the US greenback reversed route and was projected to succeed in a serious excessive in 2024. Bolsonaro was forward of da Silva within the polls for the 2026 election, which is why Lula had him criminally charged, and the courts are too corrupt in Brazil to understand this was not an answer.
The years 2025 and 2026 are Directional Adjustments. To date, the greenback is an inside buying and selling 12 months. It seems the political uncertainty will rise in 2026, and this could carry Brazil into 2028. The chance of rising volatility will seem in March-April in 2026. The pc projections for Brazil point out that this may NOT finish properly. Brazil has nonetheless been in a position to promote bonds overseas. For instance, it bought $2.75 billion in dollar-denominated sovereign bonds in June 2025. This could begin to change in 2026. Curiosity funds as a share of presidency income in Brazil are working over 30.84%. Curiosity funds correspond to roughly 7-8% of Brazil’s GDP in latest months.
The present president of Brazil is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who’s following the LEFTIST world agenda to additional this concept of a LEFTIST WORLD GOVERNMENT. This can be a deliberate marketing campaign on a worldwide scale that wages political warfare to encourage hatred. His prosecution of Bolsonaro is a basic instance of the leftist tactic to imprison opponents. We noticed that try with Trump, however Macron used it in opposition to Marine Le Pen, and Germany tried to outlaw the AfD.
Different nations which are prosecuting former heads of state embody Argentina, Peru, South Korea, France, Israel, Chad, Ivory Coast, Mauritania, Malaysia, Pakistan, and Guinea. Then there’s the Worldwide Prison Courtroom, which has additionally turn out to be political, charging crimes in opposition to humanity, relating to Vladimir Putin, Rodrigo Duterte, Benjamin Netanyahu, and Min Aung Hlaing.
Now, even Romania is pulling the identical LEFTIST tactic on the route of the EU as a result of NATO is constructing the biggest base in Romania to launch assaults on Russia. Calin Georgescu was in opposition to the warfare that the EU and NATO are directing, so the reply is to criminally abuse the regulation to once more imprison your opponent. That is turning into a WIDESPREAD tactic of the LEFT, and that is all a part of the pc’s forecast for 2032. They consider that after World Conflict III, they’ll get to this time, institutionalize Marxism, and kill any Capitalistic and freedom as soon as and for all.
There is concern inside components of Brazil’s army (and amongst political observers) about points of Lula’s authorities, nevertheless it’s a fancy scenario. After Lula took workplace, supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro stormed a number of authorities buildings in Brasília. There was substantial proof that some safety forces, together with army police and presumably parts within the armed forces, both did not act or had individuals sympathetic to Bolsonaro amongst them.
Lula turned to consolidate loyalty and belief (and to scale back dangers of parts sympathetic to a coup or rebel), Lula’s authorities has made a number of adjustments:
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The Military’s prime commander, Gen. Júlio Cesar de Arruda, was changed by Gen. Tomás Miguel Ribeiro Paiva.
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Some army appointments and posts have been blocked or modified, particularly the place there was concern over loyalty.
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The intelligence company, beforehand beneath army or safety oversight, has come beneath extra civilian management.
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Our sources there verify that there are lots of within the army who’re very uneasy about being drawn into politics, about their institutional repute, and about purges or dismissals (even when legally justified) that they see as politicized. However that doesn’t essentially imply they uniformly oppose Lula or his insurance policies.
Lula’s try to make use of the authorized system to close down all opposition is extremely harmful, and this may turn out to be the supply of the subsequent revolution. Brazil is DOOMED!!!! Legally, Bolsonaro’s conviction over the coup plot is NOT universally accepted—there are appeals, dissenting opinions, and costs of political motivation, particularly from Bolsonaro’s supporters. Some within the army (particularly those that supported him) doubtless see the convictions as politically motivated or unfair; others see them as a essential response to threats in opposition to democracy. However Lula is the actual risk to democracy, however the LEFT is at all times probably the most violent, for they inform their followers that they’re the victims of the RIGHT, who’re evil and have to be destroyed.
The convictions themselves are selections of the corrupt courts in Brazil, not the army. The army’s concern tends to be extra in regards to the implications that the corrupt authorized system, like now we have seen within the US with compromised judges, that manipulating the regulation for political makes use of by the judiciary has set a precedent that many are starting to see that the one resolution to avoid wasting Brazil once more might be a revolution.
A big rigidity is the diploma of civilian management over the army, and guaranteeing the army (and police) are impartial {and professional} fairly than being political actors. Lula has tried to claim that, however there are dangers of backlash. Then throw within the corrupt authorized system of Brazil. The courts are prosecuting people, together with army personnel. How the army handles these investigations (disciplinary, authorized) issues determines whether or not the establishment as a complete accepts the rule of regulation when the courts are performing as a purge for Lula. The a method to make sure a future revolution was to imprison Bolsonaro.
A good portion of Brazil’s army is deeply involved about political instability, the chance of being caught in political fights, and the implications of eradicating or disciplining personnel. However whether or not that counts as being “involved in regards to the left agenda” or “afraid of Lula imprisoning Bolsonaro” relies upon quite a bit on which a part of the army, how excessive up, and the way intently linked to Bolsonaro or his supporters they’re.
Even the Telegraph has seen that Obama is fanning the political divide in america, as a part of an agenda to make use of WWIII to revamp america within the aftermath, just like how Bretton Woods, the creation of the UN, and the IMF all got here after WWII. Obama is blaming Trump for dividing the nation as if the LEFT has nothing to do with it.
Obama is an excessive leftist participant on this recreation. After leaving workplace, Barack Obama selected to stay in Washington, D.C., which some interpret as a method to keep affect in politics. His continued presence has led to hypothesis about his involvement in political issues and help for Democratic candidates. Sources have lengthy stated that Obama can be a closet racist, and that has coloured his leftist agenda, which he has bought quietly behind the scenes. Hw is the ONLY former President who has refused to depart politics in Washington. Whereas the press loves him, he’s far more of a devoted zealot to his political philosophy than most are ever prepared to place in print.
